Sunday, 25 April 2010

YES WE CAN!

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I read that a Labour Party supporter wrote this inspirational e-mail to Gordon Brown this morning:

"We keep reading that we're on course for a hung parliament, or that David Cameron is on course for a narrow victory, but remember this...Roughly a third of us haven't yet decided whether to vote at all and of those certain to vote more than 3 million people haven't decided who they are going to vote for. The commentators telling you today what is going to happen on May 6th are the same ones mugged by the Lib Dem surge. There is bags of time to go. Anything can still happen".

In the light of all the opinion polls today showing that the Conservatives have re-asserted their lead and that the gap between them and Labour is getting much wider again - and maybe, according to IPSOS Mori, the Lib Dem bubble is bursting too -, it was clearly designed to boost morale in Downing Street. Labour can still win. The pundits could all be wrong. All we have to do is believe.
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Only joking.
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Those words were actually spoken by Andrew Marr this morning. Marr has never cast doubt on the pundits before, and has never been shy about mentioning the latest opinion polls ever since the beginning of the year (when the Conservative lead plunged). Suddenly, and with the word 'today' firmly emphasized, on the very day when Labour's fortunes look precarious again (according to the polls), Marr tells us not to trust the pundits, speaks out for the possibility of something other than a hung parliament, or a narrow Conservative majority, and forgets to mention the polls. Why would that be?

2 comments:

  1. Ermm, a Labour hack?

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  2. Oh...I'd say it was for the same reason that the BBC sees a flatline of 0.2% "growth" as a reason for telling us the recession is over, and the Man Who Saved the World knows what he's doing.

    But obviously it doesn't work the other way round. At the Ministry of Truth, a positive 0.2% truly does outweigh a negative of up to 9% (which will not be mentioned in actual figures).

    Some statistics are more equal than others.

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