Sunday, 2 May 2010

PREDICTIONS BORN OF PREDICTABILITY

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Where to begin with today's interview with David Cameron on the Andrew Marr Show?
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First by sitting in judgement on my own prophecies. How did I do?
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1. That much more time will be spent this week on serious policy subjects. BULLSEYE!
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2. That there will be many more subjects discussed, allowing Marr to swoop, attack then fly off onto something different, thus denying Mr Cameron the chance to expand on his explanations. WRONG, because it was cancelled out by prediction 3. This was, however, where the vast bulk of the interruptions came (16 of them), so David Cameron didn't get much chance to expand on his answers. Note also that, unlike with the Brown and Clegg interviews where the interruptions flew largely during the more 'trivial' subjects, here they flew during the most important subject. That increases their disruptive value to the interviewer (and the interviewee).
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3. That Marr will spend most time discussing spending cuts - the topic he didn't discuss with Messers Brown and Clegg - banging away at exactly how much will be cut, where will it be cut from, how many jobs will be lost, etc. BULLSEYE!
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4. That this interview will result in a higher interruption coefficient than the ones for Brown (1) and Clegg (1.4). WRONG. It was 1.1, only slightly higher than Brown's and lower than Clegg's
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So my score is 2/4.
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Oh, well. Mystic Craig turns about to be as 'mystic' as Mystic Meg!

1 comment:

  1. Not a bad prediction, and 100% accurate where it counted - 100% biased!

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